Emesso: 2013 Jul 13 1209 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
13 Jul 2013 | 115 | 017 |
14 Jul 2013 | 110 | 007 |
15 Jul 2013 | 100 | 007 |
Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours, with only C class flares reported. The strongest event, a C3.5 flare, took place in NOAA AR 1785 on July 12, 1733 UT (peak time). It was accompanied by a very faint CME observed by LASCO C2. Due to the position of the source region, and with the information currently available, this event does not seem to be geoffective. C flares are possible in the next 48 hours, in particular from NOAA AR 1785, 1787 and 1791, and we therefore foresee eruptive conditions. We expect mostly quiet to unsettled conditions for the next 48 hours in terms of geomagnetic activity. ACE observations show that the Earth is currently within a magnetic cloud, probably associated with the halo CME of July 9th. The first hint of its arrival was detected on July 12th, a bit after 1600 UT, with moderate negative excursions of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 021, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 087 |
10cm solar flux | 118 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 048 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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