Emesso: 2013 Jul 16 1249 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Jul 2013 | 114 | 007 |
17 Jul 2013 | 115 | 006 |
18 Jul 2013 | 116 | 013 |
The flaring activity during past 24 hours was of the low C-class level. Most of the C-class flares originated from the Catania sunspot group 30 (NOAA AR 1791) which currently has beta-gamma-delta configurations of its photospheric magnetic field, and a significant potential to produce more C-class flares and possibly also M-class flare. The flaring activity is also expected from NOAA AR 1793 situated close to the east solar limb. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind flow with the speed of about 370 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is stable with the magnitude of about 4 nT. The arrival of the fast flow, from the low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere which reached the central meridian yesterday, is expected on July 18. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so in the following hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 051, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 114 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 017 |
AK Wingst | 021 |
Estimated Ap | 026 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 050 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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