Emesso: 2013 Jul 20 1408 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
20 Jul 2013 | 114 | 015 |
21 Jul 2013 | 113 | 015 |
22 Jul 2013 | 113 | 012 |
The only C-class flare reported during the last 24 hours was C2.1 flare originating from the NOAA AR 1793. This active region currently has beta- gamma configuration of the photosperic magnetic field and the potential to produce C-class and possibly M-class flares. The newly arrived data showed that the CME on July 18 associated with the prominence eruption on the east solar limb, is most probably not Earth-directed. The Earth is still inside the fast speed stream due to the low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere. At the moment the solar wind speed is 530 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is rather stable with the magnitude of about 2 nT. We expect unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions due to the currently ongoing influence of the fast stream. The arrival of the fast flow from the low-latitude coronal hole (also crossing the equator) in the southern hemisphere, which just reached the central meridian is expected on July 23.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 037, based on 12 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 114 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
AK Wingst | 020 |
Estimated Ap | 019 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 058 - Based on 25 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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