Emesso: 2014 Apr 21 1237 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
21 Apr 2014 | 158 | 015 |
22 Apr 2014 | 153 | 005 |
23 Apr 2014 | 148 | 005 |
There are currently 9 sunspot regions on the visible disk. Most are stable, with only NOAA 2034, 2035 and 2036 having a more complex beta- gamma structure. These three groups produced 7 of the 9 low-level C-class flares that were observed during the last 24 hours. Dynamic but small active regions NOAA 2038 and 2045 produced the two other C flares. Several CMEs were observed near and behind the northwest limb, related to continuing activity near NOAA 2032/2033. None of these CMEs had an earth- directed component. Further C-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on an isolated M-flare. Active to minor storm conditions were observed in response to the ICME related to the M7 flare. Solar wind speed gradually declined from 700 to 600km/s, with Bz varying mostly between +11 and -7nT. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet with an occasional active period as the geomagnetic field recovers from the ICME impact.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 115, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 163 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 030 |
AK Wingst | 023 |
Estimated Ap | 022 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 137 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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