Emesso: 2014 May 25 1217 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 May 2014 | 120 | 007 |
26 May 2014 | 122 | 016 |
27 May 2014 | 122 | 007 |
There were five C flares and an M flare during the past 24 hours, all released by NOAA AR 12065. The long duration M1.3 flare peaked at 18:35 UT on May 24. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. STEREO COR2 B imagery registered a CME at 23:09 UT on May 24, but this CME was probably associated to a backside event. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (95%) and for M flares around 60%, especially from NOAA AR 12065. Over the last 24 hours, the solar wind speed as observed by ACE decreased from around 450 km/s to about 430 km/s. Meanwhile the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 2 and 4 nT. Over the last 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on May 25 and 27. Quiet geomagnetic conditions with active (K Dourbes = 4) periods are possible on May 26, due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 074, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 118 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 081 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | 1826 | 1835 | 1844 | ---- | M1.3 | 229 | 53/2065 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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