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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2014 May 25 1217 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 25 May 2014 until 27 May 2014
Brillamenti solari

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
25 May 2014120007
26 May 2014122016
27 May 2014122007

Bulletin

There were five C flares and an M flare during the past 24 hours, all released by NOAA AR 12065. The long duration M1.3 flare peaked at 18:35 UT on May 24. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. STEREO COR2 B imagery registered a CME at 23:09 UT on May 24, but this CME was probably associated to a backside event. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (95%) and for M flares around 60%, especially from NOAA AR 12065. Over the last 24 hours, the solar wind speed as observed by ACE decreased from around 450 km/s to about 430 km/s. Meanwhile the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 2 and 4 nT. Over the last 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on May 25 and 27. Quiet geomagnetic conditions with active (K Dourbes = 4) periods are possible on May 26, due to the expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 074, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 24 May 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux118
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number081 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
24182618351844----M1.322953/2065

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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