Emesso: 2015 Jan 12 1221 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Jan 2015 | 154 | 008 |
13 Jan 2015 | 157 | 007 |
14 Jan 2015 | 160 | 007 |
NOAA ARs 2255 and 2257 have reached a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration and have potential for M-class flares, but only C-class flaring has been observed in the past 24h. The strongest flare was a C6.1 peaking at 04:32 UT, from NOAA AR 2260. ARs 2249 and 2250 are expected to turn into view in the coming 48h, with possible increases in activity. Solar wind speed is about 450 km/s with magnetic field intensity of 6 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 096, based on 06 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 154 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 086 - Based on 17 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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