Emesso: 2015 Apr 11 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
11 Apr 2015 | 120 | 020 |
12 Apr 2015 | 123 | 007 |
13 Apr 2015 | 126 | 007 |
Beta-delta region NOAA AR 2320 released two C flares and a new region on the East limb each released one C flare during the past 24 hours. The strongest flare was the C4.7 flare produced by the new region, which peaked at 2:41 UT on April 11. In the next 24 hours, more C flaring is expected, with a chance for an M flare. During the past 24 hours, solar wind speed decreased from about 410 km/s to 360 km/s while the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) magnitude decreased from about 20 to 5 nT. Bz reached -12 nT at short intervals and stayed below -5 nT from about 13:15 to 8:15 UT. The Phi angle switched from a positive (away) towards a negative (towards) sector in the first half of April 11. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to active (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4) as a response to the elevated solar wind speed and IMF magnitude. Quiet to active geomagnetic levels are expected to continue for the rest of April 11, while quiet levels (K Dourbes < 4) are predicted for April 12 and 13.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 031, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 071 |
10cm solar flux | 115 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 034 |
AK Wingst | 031 |
Estimated Ap | 030 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 031 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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