Visualizzazione archivio di sabato, 11 aprile AM

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2015 Apr 11 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Apr 2015 until 13 Apr 2015
Brillamenti solari

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Apr 2015120020
12 Apr 2015123007
13 Apr 2015126007

Bulletin

Beta-delta region NOAA AR 2320 released two C flares and a new region on the East limb each released one C flare during the past 24 hours. The strongest flare was the C4.7 flare produced by the new region, which peaked at 2:41 UT on April 11. In the next 24 hours, more C flaring is expected, with a chance for an M flare. During the past 24 hours, solar wind speed decreased from about 410 km/s to 360 km/s while the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) magnitude decreased from about 20 to 5 nT. Bz reached -12 nT at short intervals and stayed below -5 nT from about 13:15 to 8:15 UT. The Phi angle switched from a positive (away) towards a negative (towards) sector in the first half of April 11. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to active (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2 and 4) as a response to the elevated solar wind speed and IMF magnitude. Quiet to active geomagnetic levels are expected to continue for the rest of April 11, while quiet levels (K Dourbes < 4) are predicted for April 12 and 13.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 031, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Apr 2015

Wolf number Catania071
10cm solar flux115
AK Chambon La Forêt034
AK Wingst031
Estimated Ap030
Estimated international sunspot number031 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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