Emesso: 2015 May 07 1230 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 May 2015 | 136 | 011 |
08 May 2015 | 140 | 007 |
09 May 2015 | 142 | 007 |
Solar activity continues to be dominated by NOAA ARs 2235 (Catania 51) and 2239 (Catania 54). The strongest flare was an M1.9, from AR 2239 peaking at 11:49 UT on May 6. A filament eruption to the east of NOAA AR 2235 created a partial halo CME (with angular width around 140 degrees and speed of 300 km/s), first seen by LASCO-C2 at 19:00 UT on May 6. This CME is mostly directed to the south, but it may have an Earth directed component, expected to arrive on May 10.
Active conditions (K=4) were observed yesterday locally in Belgium and minor storms (Kp=5) at planetary levels. The Earth is still under the influence of the CME from May 2 with magnetic fields slightly above 10 nT. If Bz turns to the south active conditions may occur again.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 101, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 136 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 035 |
AK Wingst | 028 |
Estimated Ap | 029 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 085 - Based on 25 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06 | 1145 | 1149 | 1151 | N17E67 | M1.9 | SN | 34 | 54/2339 | V/3 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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