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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2015 Aug 09 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Aug 2015 until 11 Aug 2015
Brillamenti solari

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Aug 2015120008
10 Aug 2015120008
11 Aug 2015120007

Bulletin

Two C-class flares were recorded during the past 24 hours, originating from NOAA active region 2396. The strongest flare was a C4.2 flare, peaking at 7:52 UT. An eruption also occurred near NOAA active region 2393 close to the West limb, peaking at 11:44 UT in SDO/AIA. Coronagraphic imagery is not yet available to analyze any potential CME.

Three CMEs, with first measurements at 20:36 UT and 22:24 UT (on August 7), 00:12 UT (on August 8), were related to eruptions in the Southeast and the Northwest quadrant. The third CME was the strongest one having an apparent width of about 160 degrees. These CMEs have no Earth-bound component, so no geomagnetic consequences are expected.

Flares at the C-level are expected. Also an M-class flare is possible, but not very likely.

The solar wind speed has values varying from 460 to 570 km/s and the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) is below 10 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, at global (estimated NOAA Kp) and local (Dourbes) levels, and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 070, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Aug 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux121
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap014
Estimated international sunspot number089 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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