Emesso: 2016 May 26 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 May 2016 | 093 | 008 |
27 May 2016 | 090 | 018 |
28 May 2016 | 089 | 010 |
NOAA 2548 produced the strongest flare of the period, a B9.3 flare peaking at 21:17UT on 25 May. The region is slowly developing, with a few minor filaments near the main spot and some areas of mixed magnetic polarities. NOAA 2546 was quiet and is approaching the western solar limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
There's a chance on an isolated C-class flare.
Solar wind speed continued its gradual decline from an initial 400 km/s to around 330 km/s by the end of the period. Bz varied between -4 and +4 nT, being mostly positive. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field was directed away from the Sun. Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed.
Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected until the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) associated with the wind stream from the small negative southern coronal hole (CH). A sector boundary crossing may precede or coincide with the CIR. The arrival of these structures is expected for 26 or 27 May, and may result in active geomagnetic conditions with a slight chance on a minor storming episode. Effects from the wind stream from the negative northern CH are expected for 28 May.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 033, based on 28 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 048 |
10cm solar flux | 094 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 031 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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