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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2016 Oct 02 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Oct 2016 until 04 Oct 2016
Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Oct 2016079018
03 Oct 2016078010
04 Oct 2016076010

Bulletin

There are presently no active regions on the visible side of the Sun, and accordingly solar activity is low (without C-class flares reported). We expect low solar activity to persist in the coming hours. The CME, first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at about 14:24 UT on October 1, was associated with the EUV wave and coronal dimming. The bulk of the CME mass was in the north-east direction, and the CME had angular width of about 90 degrees and projected speed of 400 km/s (as reported by the CACTus software package). This CME will not arrive at the Earth.

The solar wind speed is slowly decreasing and it is presently about 500 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is stable having value of about 5 nT. Due to the long interval of the negative value of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field and the fast solar wind, active geomagnetic conditions were reported (around 23:40 UT) on October 1. The local station at Dourbes reported K=4, and NOAA reported Kp=4. We expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 008, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Oct 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux081
AK Chambon La Forêt037
AK Wingst023
Estimated Ap025
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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