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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2016 Nov 06 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Nov 2016 until 08 Nov 2016
Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Nov 2016077006
07 Nov 2016076007
08 Nov 2016075033

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low in the past 24 hours. No flares were observed. A partial halo CME is visible in SoHO/LASCO C2 images from 00:00 UT onwards on November 5. The ejection is mostly directed towards the North-East and has an angular extent of 200 degrees. The speed is measured to be at most 400 km/s. The origin of the event is most likely be related to the filament eruption around 00:00 UT November 5, in the North-Western quadrant. Solar Protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares. Variations of the solar wind parameters were very low. Solar wind speed decreased from about 365 km/s to its current values near 315 km/s. Total Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) strength fluctuated between 4.7 nT and 5.5 nT, while Bz fluctuated between +3.2 nT and -3.1 nT. As the result the geomagnetic conditions have been low in the past 24 hours, (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 2). The geomagnetic environment is expected to continue at low levels today (November 6) and tomorrow (November 7). However, late on the day three (November 8) or the day four (November 9, early in the morning) Earth may experience the passage of the flanks of the CME. Given the low speed and the direction of the CME effects are estimated not to be very strong with possibly minor up to moderate geomagnetic storms.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 024, based on 10 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Nov 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux077
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number026 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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