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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2017 Mar 29 1246 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 29 Mar 2017 until 31 Mar 2017
Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
29 Mar 2017084026
30 Mar 2017083012
31 Mar 2017081007

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has returned to B-class eruptive level. There have been seven B-flares flares originated at NOAA AR 2645 (McIntosh:Dai; Mag.Type:Betta-Gamma).The biggest flare B4.5 peaked today (29-Mar-2017) at 01.40 UT originated at NOAA AR 2646 (McIntosh:Axx; Mag.Type:Alpha) which is about to rotate over the east limb. No Earth- directed CMEs have been detected over the past 24 hours. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar X-Ray background level is expected to remain low. NOAA AR 2645 is expected to produce more B-class flares over the next 24 hours. C-class flares are also not excluded. Over the past 24 hours, solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR remained stable with the average value around 700 km/s till 06:00 UT today (29-Mar-2017). Then the speed dropped abruptly till 630 km/s. WSA-ENLIL model indicates the Earth is out of influence of the high speed stream. Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) remained stable with the value around 4 nT. Bz variations remained at low level (varying mostly between -4 nT and +4nT). The geomagnetic field stayed at active conditions level (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 3 and 4). Active to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < = 4) are expected today and tomorrow.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 047, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 28 Mar 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux084
AK Chambon La Forêt025
AK Wingst024
Estimated Ap027
Estimated international sunspot number055 - Based on 35 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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