Emesso: 2017 Jul 30 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Jul 2017 | 075 | 008 |
31 Jul 2017 | 079 | 015 |
01 Aug 2017 | 080 | 006 |
Solar activity was at very low levels. Sunspot group NOAA 2669 (Catania 40) is visible at location N17W30. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.
Mostly quiet flaring conditions are expected, with an increasing chance on a C-class flare from returning active region NOAA 2665.
Solar wind speed decreased further from about 430 to 370 km/s. Bz oscillated between -3 and +4 nT (DSCOVR). The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. A small negative equatorial coronal hole (CH) transited the central meridian from 27 till 29 July.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels with a single unsettled episode recorded at Dourbes during the 15-18UT interval. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected until the arrival of the particle stream associated with the aforementioned CH, which may start influencing the earth environment late on 30 or on 31 July, possibly resulting in an active episode.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 17 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 070 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 25 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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