Emesso: 2019 May 04 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
04 May 2019 | 070 | 010 |
05 May 2019 | 072 | 006 |
06 May 2019 | 074 | 009 |
As expected, solar flaring activity is increasing, as NOAA AR 2740 has rotated on the visible side of the solar disc. This active region was the source of the B3.9 and C1.0 flare (peaked at 23:32 UT on May 03). In the coming hours we expect B-class and also C-class flares, in particular since one more active region will start to rotate to the visible side of the solar disc. The CMEs associated with the reported flares were rather narrow and slow, and they are not expected to arrive to the Earth. The solar protons are at the background level. The solar wind speed is presently about 480 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 5 nT. The fast solar wind associated with the small equatorial coronal hole of negative polarity, which reached central meridian yesterday morning, is expected to arrive at the Earth on May 6. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet to unsettled and we expect them to stay so in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 012, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | /// |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | /// |
Estimated Ap | /// |
Estimated international sunspot number | 000 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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