Emesso: 2023 May 30 1231 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 May 2023 | 154 | 007 |
31 May 2023 | 152 | 007 |
01 Jun 2023 | 150 | 011 |
There are ten visible active regions on the solar disk. NOAA AR 3315 remains the most complex region, but it has lost its delta spot and it has now a beta-gamma magnetic field configuration. NOAA AR 3310 has been producing the largest flares, including two M-class flares. This region is currently rotating out of view over the west limb. The largest flare of the past 24 hours was an M1.3 one, peaking at 10:22 UTC, from NOAA AR 3310. There will be C-class flares in the next 24 hours, and more M-class flares can be expected.
No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery.
A positive polarity coronal hole in the southern hemisphere crossed the central meridian yesterday. A related high speed solar wind stream may arrive to the Earth on 1-2 June.
The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with an interplanetary magnetic field around 7 nT and solar wind speed of about 380 km/s. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours, with low chances of observing a glancing blow from the 26 May CME.
The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet (K_Belgium and Kp below 3). Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected, with chances of active levels if we see the glancing blow from the 26 May CME.
Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain at normal levels over the next 24 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 157, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 169 |
10cm solar flux | 154 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 157 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 0754 | 0810 | 0819 | N00W00 | M1.2 | SF | 93/3310 | ||
30 | 1015 | 1022 | 1029 | ---- | M1.3 | 210 | 93/3310 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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