Visualizzazione archivio di martedì, 13 febbraio AM

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2024 Feb 13 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Brillamenti solari

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Protoni solari

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

10cm fluxAp
13 Feb 2024180027
14 Feb 2024178040
15 Feb 2024178016

Solar Active Regions and flaring

The solar flaring activity was at moderate levels, with three M-class flares and several C-class flares recorded in the past 24 hours. The largest flare was an M2.6 flare, peaking at 21:17 on Feb 12, associated with the AR behind the east limb (N28E86). NOAA AR 3576 remains the most complex AR on the visible solar disc and produced two M-class flares: an M1.1 flare, peaking at 13:08 on Feb 12 and an M1.4 flare, peaking at 15:48 on Feb 12. Low flaring activity was also produced by NOAA AR 3583 (beta-gamma). Other regions on the disc have simple configuration of their photospheric magnetic field (alpha and beta) and did not show any significant flaring activity. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate levels over the next 24 hours with likely M-class flaring and a chance for an isolated X-class flare.

Espulsioni di massa coronale

A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in LASCO/C2 coronagraph data from 14:12 UTC on February 12th. The CME is associated to a prominence eruption from behind the north-east limb. Based on the source location, no impact on Earth is expected. No other Earth-directed CMEs have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

Vento solare

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) were reflecting near slow solar wind conditions. The solar wind speed decreased from values around 530 km/s to 430 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was below 6 nT. The southward component of the interplanetary magnetic field fluctuated between -4 nT and 4 nT. The magnetic field orientation was predominantly in the negative sector (field directed towards the Sun). Similar solar wind conditions are expected, with a possibility of a week enhancement on Feb 13 - Feb 14 due to the anticipated arrival of multiple CMEs from Feb 9th and Feb 10th.

Geomagnetism

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both globally and locally (NOAA-Kp and K-BEL: 1 to 2) during the last 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain mostly at quiet levels, with a chance of reaching active and minor storm levels on Feb 13 - 14 due to potential CMEs arrivals.

Proton flux levels

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained above the 10pfu threshold, reaching a maximum value of 120 pfu as measured by GOES-18 at 06:15 UTC on February 13. The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux is expected to remain at minor radiation storm levels on Feb 13th and, in case of no new triggers, decline towards nominal levels by the end of Feb 14th.

Electron fluxes at geostationary orbit

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, remained below the 1000 pfu threshold. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 135, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Feb 2024

Wolf number Catania193
10cm solar flux208
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number160 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
12125013081321----M1.165/3576
12153115481603S12W34M1.41F65/3576
12203521172151----M2.6--/----III/1

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Tutti gli orari in UTC

<< Vai alla pagina della panoramica giornaliera

Ultime notizie

Supporta SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Molte persone vengono su SpaceWeatherLive per seguire l'attività del Sole o sapere se ci sia la possibilità di vedere l'aurora, ma a maggior traffico corrispondono costi maggiori. Considerate una donazione se vi piace SpaceWeatherLive così che possiamo mantenere online il sito web!

Dona SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Supporta SpaceWeatherLive con il nostro merchandise
Dai un'occhiata al nostro merchandise

Notizie sul meteo spaziale

Ultimo brillamento X2025/03/28X1.1
Ultimo brillamento M2025/04/01M2.5
Ultima tempesta geomagnetica2025/03/27Kp5 (G1)
Giorni senza macchie
Ultimo giorno senza macchie2022/06/08
Media mensile Numero di Macchie Solari
marzo 2025134.2 -20.4
aprile 2025143 +8.8
Ultimi 30 giorni130.4 -16.1

Questo giorno nella storia*

Brillamenti solari
12002M8.82
21999M6.76
32001M2.91
42003M2.74
52001M2.31
DstG
11979-202G3
21988-133G3
31984-120G4
42004-117G2
51994-111G3
*dal 1994

Social networks