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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Випущено: 2023 Aug 21 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Сонячні спалахи

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
21 Aug 2023	146	007
22 Aug 2023	148	007
23 Aug 2023	150	007

Solar Active Regions and flaring

There are seven active regions visible on the disk. They all have simple alpha or beta magnetic field configuration. Only C-class flares have occurred in the last 24 hours. The largest flare was a C4.4 flare peaking at 07:53 UTC, from a region rotating into view from the east limb. C-class flares are expected and M-class flares are possible (mostly from the new region), for the next 24 hours.

Корональні викиди маси

There were no Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

Сонячний вітер

The Earth is inside a fast solar wind stream, with speeds around 600 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field orientation was predominantly in the negative sector (field directed towards the Sun). The solar wind is expected to gradually decrease its speed in the coming days.

Geomagnetism

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA KP 1-3, K Bel 1-3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at unsettled levels, with isolated active periods possible due to the ongoing high speed stream influence.

Proton flux levels

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Electron fluxes at geostationary orbit

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu threshold as measured by GOES 16. It may increase above this threshold in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 111, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 20 Aug 2023

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	146
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	012
Estimated Ap	012
Estimated international sunspot number	106 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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