CME effects continue: fireworks & aurora tonight?

Thursday, 31 December 2015 19:08 UTC

CME effects continue: fireworks & aurora tonight?

Coronal mass ejection effects continue here at Earth and the IMF is slowly gaining strength.

The total strength of the IMF (Bt) lies at almost 16nT right now, a moderately high value. More importantly, the direction of the IMF (Bz) has gone southward again after a prolonged period where it was mainly pointing northward. Be sure to follow the data live here on the website to see if auroral conditions continue to be favourable as we approach UTC midnight.

The Wing-Kp index did report Kp7 and Kp6 during the past few hours but it feels like the Wing Kp-index might have been a bit too enthusiastic there as NOAA reported Kp6 during the previous 3 hour period and right now it's still at Kp4.

However, fear not: an increase in geomagnetic activity is still likely now the direction of the IMF turned southward again. Estonia has already reported aurora just like southern Sweden.

Kp6 remains possible in the hours ahead which means sky watchers near the line Dublin (Ireland) Manchester (England) Hamburg (Germany) Gdańsk (Poland) Vilnius (Lithuania) Moscow (Russia) still have a chance for aurora and fireworks tonight!

Your very own SpaceWeatherLive admins behind the scenes are Sander Vancanneyt and Marcel de Bont and we wish all of our visitors a wonderful 2016 with hopefully a lot of exciting space weather events!

Cover image: Aurora Australis from Australia where Aurora Australis Tasmania member Matthew Murgatroyd Burniston captured the first aurora of 2016!

Any mentioned solar flare in this article has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), the reported solar flares are 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.

Thank you for reading this article! Did you have any trouble with the technical terms used in this article? Our help section is the place to be where you can find in-depth articles, a FAQ and a list with common abbreviations. Still puzzled? Just post on our forum where we will help you the best we can! Never want to miss out on a space weather event or one of our news articles again? Subscribe to our mailing list, follow us on Twitter and Facebook and download the SpaceWeatherLive app for Android and iOS!

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2024/12/08X2.2
Last M-flare2024/12/22M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm2024/12/17Kp5+ (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
November 2024152.5 -13.9
December 2024103.3 -49.2
Last 30 days115.4 -40.8

This day in history*

Solar flares
11999M7.71
22013M4.82
32023M3.33
42013M2.8
51999M2.61
DstG
11982-101G3
22014-71G1
32001-59
41987-59
51989-58G1
*since 1994

Social networks