Sunday, 14 February 2016 14:44 UTC
A northern extension of the southern hemisphere polar coronal hole is now facing Earth.
While it doesn't have an equatorial portion, we should still experience some noticeable effects when the solar wind stream arrives at Earth in about three days from now. Kp-values of 4 might be possible on Wednesday, which stands for active geomagnetic conditions.
A coronal mass ejection is expected to arrive at our planet early tomorrow. More information about that can be found here. The NOAA SWPC has a minor G1 geomagnetic storm watch in effect for later tonight and early tomorrow due to this incoming plasma cloud. A quick look at the ACE EPAM monitor does make us worry a tiny bit. The low energy protons are still way down and that is not a good sign. This plot should show elevated values as the plasma cloud approaches our planet. Could this mean we will see a weak impact or perhaps even a complete miss? Let's hope not but it's not looking all to great at the moment. Still, this coronal mass ejection could be much slower than antipated and perhaps arrive later as well. That could also explain the rather disappointing EPAM values we are seeing right now. Like always, it's going to be a waiting game so be sure to keep an eye on the data on our website.
Image: ACE EPAM plot on 14 February at 15:31 UTC.
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