Vaata reede, 11 jaanuar 2013 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2013 Jan 11 1210 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

	10 cm vool	Ap
11 Jan 2013	174	001
12 Jan 2013	179	001
13 Jan 2013	184	001

Bülletään

The main driver of solar activity is likely to be NOAA AR 1654, which has produced several C flares in the past 24 hours, and a M1.2 flare, today, at 0911 UT (peak time). A metric type II burst was observed, and a CME was probably associated to it. At the time this message is prepared, coronagraphic observations do not allow to see if a CME has indeed occurred. Active conditions (M flare likely) are expected for the next 48 hours from this region, with a risk of an X class flare. Geomagnetic conditions might evolve quickly from quiet to active levels in the coming days if CMEs related to NOAA AR 1654 flares occur; which justifies issuing a warning condition.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 109, põhineb 08 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 10 Jan 2013

Catania Wolfi number	185
10cm päikesevoog	174
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	002
Hinnanguline Ap	002
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	101 - Põhineb 17 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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