Välja antud: 2013 Jan 12 1201 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Jan 2013 | 173 | 002 |
13 Jan 2013 | 173 | 001 |
14 Jan 2013 | 173 | 001 |
NOAA AR 1654 still has the potential for M class flares in the coming 48 hours, with a slight risk for an X flare; we therefore forecast active conditions for solar activity. An M 1.0 flare occurred on Jan. 11, in this region, at 1507 UT (peak time). So far, no Earth-directed CME, related to this region's flaring activity can be observed. However warning conditions are issued for the geomagnetic activity. Current conditions are quiet.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 105, based on 07 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 172 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 110 - Based on 12 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 0843 | 0911 | 0917 | N05E36 | M1.2 | VI/2,II/1,IV/1 | 64/1654 | ||
11 | 1451 | 1507 | 1524 | N06E39 | M1.0 | 1F | 64/1654 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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