Välja antud: 2013 Oct 01 1251 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
01 Oct 2013 | 106 | 007 |
02 Oct 2013 | 106 | 019 |
03 Oct 2013 | 106 | 026 |
The flaring probability is low. Only the newly emerging active regions on East limb and and NOAA AR 1855 have a small chance for a C-class flare. NOAA AR 1855 (now at central meridian, northern hemisphere) is a new flux emerging region and has developed a transequatorial connection with an old decaying active region in the Northern hemisphere. The arrival of the CME of midnight Sept 29/30 is still expected for midnight Oct 2/3 with an uncertainty range of +/- 6 hours. The CME is expected to trigger a minor geomagnetic storm (Kp=5) early Oct 3. Meanwhile the 10 MeV proton levels are still above the event threshold as a consequence of the same event.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 105 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
AK Wingst | 002 |
Estimated Ap | 002 |
Estimated international sunspot number | /// - Based on /// stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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