Vaata teisipäev, 1 oktoober 2013 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2013 Oct 01 1251 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Oct 2013 until 03 Oct 2013
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Päikese prootonid

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

10cm fluxAp
01 Oct 2013106007
02 Oct 2013106019
03 Oct 2013106026

Bulletin

The flaring probability is low. Only the newly emerging active regions on East limb and and NOAA AR 1855 have a small chance for a C-class flare. NOAA AR 1855 (now at central meridian, northern hemisphere) is a new flux emerging region and has developed a transequatorial connection with an old decaying active region in the Northern hemisphere. The arrival of the CME of midnight Sept 29/30 is still expected for midnight Oct 2/3 with an uncertainty range of +/- 6 hours. The CME is expected to trigger a minor geomagnetic storm (Kp=5) early Oct 3. Meanwhile the 10 MeV proton levels are still above the event threshold as a consequence of the same event.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 30 Sep 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux105
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number/// - Based on /// stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Puuduvad

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

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