Välja antud: 2013 Oct 02 1241 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Major magstorm expected (A>=50 or K>=6)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
02 Oct 2013 | 107 | 034 |
03 Oct 2013 | 107 | 007 |
04 Oct 2013 | 107 | 007 |
Solar activity is low, a small chance for C-class flaring can come from NOAA AR 1555/Cat 91 or from the newly emerging active regions on the East limb (Cat 93 and Cat 94). This morning from 01:00 UT onwards, the ACE spacecraft recorded a small jump in the solar wind speed, up to 600 km/s, and a gradual increase in the solar wind density. Together with Southward fluctuating IMF, this had generated a Kp=6 geomagnetic storm. The event is probably a consequence of the halo CME that left the Sun on midnight Sept 29/30, which arrived earlier than expected. By now, the IMF is back steadily Northward so we expect the worst of the storm has passed. Later today we expect a return to quiet geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 042 |
10cm solar flux | 107 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 036 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 033 - Based on 15 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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