Vaata kolmapäev, 16 oktoober 2013 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2013 Oct 16 1306 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10 cm vool	Ap
16 Oct 2013	125	012
17 Oct 2013	125	010
18 Oct 2013	124	007

Bülletään

Solar activity has been moderate, many C-class flares were detected from AR 1865, 1861. NOAA AR 1865 produced an M1.3 flare with peak time at 23:36 UT on October 15, no CME was associated with this flare. More M-class flares can be expected from these two active regions. The CME associated with the M1.8 flare from yesterday peaking at 08:38 UT is not expected to arrive to the Earth. Geomagnetic conditions have ranged from quiet to unsettled due to the fast speed stream from a coronal hole. The solar wind speed is currently at 480 km/s and the magnetic field intensity around 4 nT. We expect quiet conditions, except for the possible arrival (estimated probability of 30%) of the CME from October 13 that could raise the geomagnetic conditions up to storm levels late today.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 092, põhineb 09 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 15 Oct 2013

Catania Wolfi number	183
10cm päikesevoog	125
AK Chambon La Forêt	022
AK Wingst	021
Hinnanguline Ap	020
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	103 - Põhineb 16 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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