Välja antud: 2013 Dec 09 1253 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
09 Dec 2013 | 170 | 009 |
10 Dec 2013 | 173 | 018 |
11 Dec 2013 | 173 | 007 |
Flaring activity is at the same level as the previous days: the base X-ray radiation curve is situated near the bottom of the C-level. The active region which is contributed the highest probability to flare is NOAA AR 1917. The region in the northern hemisphere which rotates over the east limb (but has no NOAA NR yet) is also in the running to produce C-flares. The shock arrival of yesterday December 8 didn't cause any geomagnetic disturbance. The co-rotating interaction region (arrival on December 7) and the associated fast solar wind dominated the solar wind data. The result was a geomagnetic storm of Kp=6 early December 8. The mass ejection that was associated with the M1.2 flare peaking at 7:29UT on December 7 might cause a glancing blow late today (December 9) or tomorrow (December 10).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 096, based on 12 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 166 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 016 |
AK Wingst | 027 |
Estimated Ap | 025 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 065 - Based on 17 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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