Vaata pühapäev, 5 jaanuar 2014 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2014 Jan 05 1227 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Jan 2014 until 07 Jan 2014
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10cm fluxAp
05 Jan 2014240005
06 Jan 2014250006
07 Jan 2014250007

Bulletin

Two C flares and two M flares were measured by GOES during the past 24 hours. A long duration M4.0 flare occurred in the western part of NOAA AR 11944 on January 4 with peak time at 19:46 UT. An associated CME is mainly propagating southward, but more properties are difficult to determine due to a data gap in STEREO and LASCO imagery. NOAA AR 11944 continued to grow in size and number of sunspots. It currently has a beta- gamma-delta magnetic configuration of its photospheric field. A long duration M2.0 flare erupted on January 4 with peak time at 22:52 UT. The source region for this event is NOAA AR 11936, currently located at the west limb. A related CME was observed in LASCO/C2 and STEREO B coronagraphic imagery (first measurement in LASCO/C2 at 23:12 UT). Based on the current observations, the CME is mainly propagating in the northwest direction with an estimated projected speed of 520 km/s. A glancing blow might arrive at Earth on January 8 around 0:00 UT. The >10 MeV proton flux was enhanced during the past 12 hours, but remained below the threshold level. The flaring chances for the next 48 hours are high: 90% for C flares, 70% for M flares. There is also some chance for an X flare (20%). We maintain the warning condition for proton events. Current solar wind speed measured by ACE is around 450 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field remains around 4 to 6 nT. Current geomagnetic conditions are quiet (K=0 to 2) to unsettled (K=3) (estimated NOAA Kp 1 to 2 and K_Izmiran 1 to 3). Mainly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to continue for the next 48 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 093, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 04 Jan 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux215
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number092 - Based on 08 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
04190519462023----M4.0550--/----VI/2IV/1
04221222522322----M1.9--/1936

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele

Viimane uudis

Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!

Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!

Anneta SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Toetage SpaceWeatherLive meie kaupadega
Vaadake meie kaupa

Fakte kosmose ilmast

Viimane X-loide28/03/2025X1.1
Viimane M-loide01/04/2025M2.4
Viimane geomagnetiline torm27/03/2025Kp5 (G1)
Plekivabasid päevi
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev08/06/2022
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv
veebruar 2025154.6 +17.6
aprill 2025147 -7.6
Viimased 30 päeva128.8 -21.8

See päev ajaloos*

Päikesepursked ehk loited
12001X28.5
22001X2.01
32001X1.59
42014M9.35
52017M8.22
DstG
11960-272G3
21973-173G3
32001-101G1
41976-101G1
51994-96G3
*alates 1994

Sotsiaalvõrgustikud