Vaata esmaspäev, 6 jaanuar 2014 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2014 Jan 06 1240 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Jan 2014 until 08 Jan 2014
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

10cm fluxAp
06 Jan 2014220003
07 Jan 2014220009
08 Jan 2014220017

Bulletin

A proton event is currently in progress. From January 6 on at 8h20 UTC the proton flux started to rise for > 10 MeV, > 50 MeV and > 100 MeV the energy levels. The event threshold of 10 pfu was passed on 9h15 UTC for > 10 MeV protons and on 9h45 UTC for > 50 MeV protons. The proton flux is still above (>10 MeV) or near (>50 MeV) the event threshold. This proton event was due to a strong flare erupting from NOAA AR 1936, which has turned around the west limb a few days ago. The flare was visible around 7h45 UTC in STEREO A EUV195 and (partly) in SDO/AIA imagery. The flare was associated with a metric type II radio burst, detected in Learmonth (estimated shock wave speed 1383 km/s) and Culgoora spectrographic data. There is also a strong westward halo CME, observed by STEREO A/COR2 and LASCO/C2. The CME speed at eruption is estimated around 1200 km/s, but has slowed down to 900 km/s. Due to the position of the solar origin we estimate the geoeffectiveness of this CME to be limited to at most a glancing blow around January 8 at 4h UTC. NOAA AR 1944 was relatively stable and produced three C flares over the past 24 hours. Region NOAA AR 1946 has shown some growth. The likelihood for C and M flares remains high. There is a slight chance for an X-flare. Current solar wind speed has decreased to 400 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field remains around 5 nT, with a fluctuating Bz-component. Current geomagnetic conditions are quiet (estimated NOAA Kp and local K_Dourbes and K_Izmiran=0 to 1). Mainly quiet conditions are expected to continue for the next 24 hours. Unsettled to active (K=3 to 4) conditions might be reached on January 8 due to the possible arrival of a glancing blow from the CMEs of January 4 and January 6.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 120, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Jan 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux218
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst002
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number095 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Puuduvad

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele

Viimane uudis

Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!

Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!

Anneta SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Toetage SpaceWeatherLive meie kaupadega
Vaadake meie kaupa

Fakte kosmose ilmast

Viimane X-loide28/03/2025X1.1
Viimane M-loide01/04/2025M2.5
Viimane geomagnetiline torm27/03/2025Kp5 (G1)
Plekivabasid päevi
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev08/06/2022
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv
veebruar 2025154.6 +17.6
aprill 2025152.5 -2.1
Viimased 30 päeva130.7 -17.9

See päev ajaloos*

Päikesepursked ehk loited
12001X1.77
22017M8.35
31999M6.2
42001M3.57
52017M1.81
DstG
11979-168G4
21960-151G3
31992-105G2
42004-104G2
51994-103G3
*alates 1994

Sotsiaalvõrgustikud