Välja antud: 2014 Jul 26 1244 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 Jul 2014 | 113 | 006 |
27 Jul 2014 | 118 | 007 |
28 Jul 2014 | 123 | 007 |
Solar activity has been low but increasing over the past 24 hours. The background X-ray flux has increased gradually from around the B3 level to over the B4 level. 2 low level C flares have occurred: one originating in newly numbered NOAA AR 2015 peaking at 5:04 UT (C1.0), and just recently a C1.1 flare peaking at 11:43 UT originating from Catania group 24 (NOAA AR 2123). The latter one appears to be eruptive. Low solar activity with C flares likely is expected for the next days with a slight chance for M flares increasing with the returning active region that is rotating into view. No significant earth directed CME's have been reported. The solar wind speed increased to about 400 km/s at the end of the reporting period. The total magnetic field also increased to levels around 8nT with Bz variable within that magnitude. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (NOAA Kp 1-2, local K Dourbes 0-3) with just an isolated local unsettled period at 8UT. Over the next days the slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue as well as quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 044, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 089 |
10cm solar flux | 107 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 007 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 049 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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