Välja antud: 2014 Jul 27 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
27 Jul 2014 | 122 | 006 |
28 Jul 2014 | 128 | 007 |
29 Jul 2014 | 134 | 007 |
Solar activity has been low with a couple of low level C flares from Catania group 24 (NOAA AR 2123), the strongest one peaking at 13:20 UT at C1.8 level and from NOAA AR 2125 (no Catania number) peaking at 5:51 UT at C2.5 level. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next days with only a slight chance for an M flare. A CME was seen departing the west limb (visible in SOHO/LASCO C2 from around 15:12UT), but it is not Earth directed. After reaching a maximum of over 420 km/s at the start of the reporting period solar wind speed dropped to under 340 km/s and is currently back at around 370 km/s. Total magnetic field dropped from over 8nT to around 5nT with Bz variable within that magnitude but currently mainly positive around 3nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (NOAA Kp 1-2, local K Dourbes 0-3) with an isolated local unsettled period between 18 and 21 UT. Solar wind parameters are expected to remain nominal but to increase later due to the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet first and later quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 13 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 117 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 043 - Based on 15 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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