Välja antud: 2015 Apr 19 1232 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
19 Apr 2015 | 156 | 011 |
20 Apr 2015 | 153 | 011 |
21 Apr 2015 | 148 | 008 |
Five low C-class flares were reported in the last 24 hours, the strongest one was the long duration C5.2 flare which peaked at 14:19 UT on April 18. The flare was associated with the coronal dimming, EIT wave, filament eruption and the full halo CME. The CME was first seen in the SOHO LASCO C2 field of view at 14:48 UT, and had the projected speed of about 350 km/s (as reported by CACTUS software package). This halo CME might arrive at the Earth on April 23, but we do not expect strongly disturbed geomagnetic conditions (K index maximum 4) due to the slow speed of the CME. We expect C-class flares and possibly, but not very probably, also an isolated M-class flare. The Earth is inside a slow solar wind with the speed of about 440 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude has the average value of 5nT, and the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field is fluctuating between 2 and - 4nT. The fast flow from the small low latitude coronal hole at the southern solar hemisphere (between S10 and S30) which crossed central meridian on April 17 might possibly, although not very probable, arrive at the Earth on April 20. The geomagnetic conditions are presently quiet and expected to remain so in the coming hours.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 107, põhineb 06 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 148 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
AK Wingst | 014 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 014 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 109 - Põhineb 21 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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