Välja antud: 2015 May 16 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 May 2015 | 132 | 007 |
17 May 2015 | 127 | 016 |
18 May 2015 | 122 | 021 |
NOAA 2339 and 2342 produced a C2 class flare each. No other flaring events were observed. A large filament in the northeast quadrant erupted shortly before midnight. No obvious x-ray signature was associated with this event. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed.
Further C-class flaring is expected, with a slight chance on an M-class flare.
Solar wind speed declined further from 530 km/s to its current value of about 430 km/s. Bz varied between -4 and +2 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed. A recurrent positive polarity coronal hole (CH) has completed its central meridian transit.
The arrival of the 13 May CME and the high speed stream from the aforementioned CH are expected for late 17 or 18 May. This may result in active conditions, with a minor storming episode not excluded. Until then, quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 069, põhineb 07 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 137 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 009 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 089 - Põhineb 26 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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