Välja antud: 2015 May 06 1230 UTC
Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
06 May 2015 | 130 | 018 |
07 May 2015 | 137 | 007 |
08 May 2015 | 142 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2339 (Catania 54) at the east limb produced an X2.7 flare peaking at 22:11 UT on May 5, with an associated CME (not expected to arrive to the Earth). NOAA AR 2335 (Catania 51) produced two M-class flares (M1.3 at 14:25 UT and M2.6 at 17:24 UT). These active regions have potential for major flares.
A shock driven by the CME from May 2 arrived to the Earth at 00:50 UT, producing active geomagnetic conditions. Isolated active periods can still occur today. Quiet conditions are expected tomorrow.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 089, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 109 |
10cm solar flux | 128 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 074 - Based on 25 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 | 1345 | 1353 | 1356 | N15E75 | M1.2 | SF | --/2339 | III/2II/2 | |
05 | 1419 | 1425 | 1432 | ---- | M1.3 | 51/2335 | |||
05 | 1712 | 1724 | 1730 | ---- | M2.6 | 51/2335 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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