Vaata kolmapäev, 6 mai 2015 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2015 May 06 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 May 2015 until 08 May 2015
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 May 2015130018
07 May 2015137007
08 May 2015142007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2339 (Catania 54) at the east limb produced an X2.7 flare peaking at 22:11 UT on May 5, with an associated CME (not expected to arrive to the Earth). NOAA AR 2335 (Catania 51) produced two M-class flares (M1.3 at 14:25 UT and M2.6 at 17:24 UT). These active regions have potential for major flares.

A shock driven by the CME from May 2 arrived to the Earth at 00:50 UT, producing active geomagnetic conditions. Isolated active periods can still occur today. Quiet conditions are expected tomorrow.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 089, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 05 May 2015

Wolf number Catania109
10cm solar flux128
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number074 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

05 2205 2211 2215 ////// X2.7 590 ///2339 V/3VI/1II/2
DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
05134513531356N15E75M1.2SF--/2339III/2II/2
05141914251432----M1.351/2335
05171217241730----M2.651/2335

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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