Välja antud: 2016 Sep 10 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
10 Sep 2016 | 093 | 006 |
11 Sep 2016 | 092 | 013 |
12 Sep 2016 | 091 | 011 |
NOAA 2585 still has a small magnetic delta and produced the strongest event of the period, a B5.3 flare peaking at 08:23UT. Gradually developing active region NOAA 2589 shows some magnetic mixing, and produced a B3 flare. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) have been observed.
A C-class flare is possible, with a small chance on an isolated M-class event.
Solar wind parameters were at nominal values, with wind speed steady near 410 km/s and Bz fluctuating between -4 and +4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive). Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels.
Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected. There's a small chance that a high speed stream from a polar coronal hole extension may influence the earth environment from 11 September onwards, increasing the likelihood on an active geomagnetic episode.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 082, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 091 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 078 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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