Välja antud: 2016 Oct 07 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Oct 2016 | 102 | 011 |
08 Oct 2016 | 102 | 010 |
09 Oct 2016 | 101 | 010 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. There are currently two Active Regions (ARs) near disk centre, and a new AR (2600) that emerged over the east limb. All appear stable in HMI magnetogram observations. There is a small northern polar coronal hole that is not expected to increase solar wind speeds at Earth. Although the Sun has been quiet there is a reasonable chance of C-class flares over the next 24 hours. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 425 and 475 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 4 nT and 7 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -4 and +5 nT, but remained mainly positive. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 088 |
10cm solar flux | 102 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 059 - Based on 25 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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