Emesso: 2014 Jul 12 1215 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Jul 2014 | 145 | 009 |
13 Jul 2014 | 135 | 016 |
14 Jul 2014 | 130 | 006 |
The background of the X-ray flux has decreased below the C-level. Four C-class levels erupted from NOAA AR 2109, 2113 and new region 2117. NOAA AR 2117 has emerged near the center of the solar disk. No new Earth- affecting CMEs were observed. Flare activity at the C-level is expected. Solar wind speed is stable around 370-380 km/s, as measured by ACE. The magnitude of interplanetary magnetic field reached a maximum of 6 nT with a Bz component fluctuating between -6 and +4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled and are expected to remain so till the arrival of a glancing blow of the July 9 CME. Active conditions are possible from the UT morning of July 13.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 092, based on 10 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 166 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 112 - Based on 15 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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