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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2014 Sep 04 1249 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 04 Sep 2014 until 06 Sep 2014
Brillamenti solari

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10cm fluxAp
04 Sep 2014141011
05 Sep 2014145007
06 Sep 2014148006

Bulletin

Since yesterday's bulletin, solar activity was on the C-level, with the strongest flare being the C5.2 flare peaking yesterday at 21:24 UT in the Catania sunspot group 44 (NOAA AR 1255) close to the east-south-east limb. The same active region yesterday produced the M2.5 flare that was accompanied only by a weak and narrow CME. The solar background X-ray flux is currently around the C1 level. We expect flaring activity up the M-level, in particular from the Catania sunspot group 44. The former NOAA AR 2139 (that was responsible for the major eruption on the far side of the Sun on September 1) is now appearing from behind the east limb. The solar proton flux, although increased, has stabilized below the SEP event threshold. We maintain the warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 390 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 084, based on 13 stations.

Solar indices for 03 Sep 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux138
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap011
Estimated international sunspot number070 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

03 1320 1354 1423 S14W18 M2.5 SF 60 ///2155
DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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