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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2014 Oct 01 1234 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Oct 2014 until 03 Oct 2014
Brillamenti solari

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10cm fluxAp
01 Oct 2014155015
02 Oct 2014150017
03 Oct 2014147017

Bulletin

Only one C-class flare was observed during the period. This C6.7 flare was located in NOAA 2172 and peaked at 03:06UT. The other 8 sunspot groups have been quiet. NOAA 2178 seems to be the most complex, with opposite magnetic polarities close to each other but no apparent delta structure. A CME first observed by LASCO at 08:48UT on 01 October was associated to a prominence eruption near the east limb. It is not Earth directed. The x-ray background flux is still above the C1-level. Two 20-degrees long filaments visible in the western solar hemisphere have remained quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with still a chance on an isolated M-class flare. Solar wind speed varied between 350 and 400 km/s, with peaks near 450 km/s. Bz fluctuated between -7 and +5 nT. A few isolated active periods were recorded. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated active periods possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 103, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 30 Sep 2014

Wolf number Catania185
10cm solar flux162
AK Chambon La Forêt023
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap014
Estimated international sunspot number/// - Based on /// stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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