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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2018 May 12 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 12 May 2018 until 14 May 2018
Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
12 May 2018070011
13 May 2018070006
14 May 2018070005

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. Small and inactive region NOAA 2709 (Catania 81) doubled its number of sunspots to 2. No earth- directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

Earth remained under the influence of the wind stream from an elongated negative polarity equatorial coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed first decreased from about 480 km/s to 420 km/s by 23UT, then started a gradual increase to values near 520 km/s by the end of the period (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -6 and +4 nT, and was predominately negative until about 04UT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mainly directed towards the Sun. Geomagnetic activity ranged from quiet to mostly unsettled levels in Dourbes, with Kp recording 3 active intervals.

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an isolated active interval.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 11 May 2018

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt026
AK Wingst016
Estimated Ap017
Estimated international sunspot number011 - Based on 28 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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