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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2018 Aug 16 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 16 Aug 2018 until 18 Aug 2018
Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
16 Aug 2018069013
17 Aug 2018069012
18 Aug 2018069007

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The sunspot group (NOAA 2718) remained stable and no significant flare has been recorded. Quiet flaring conditions are expected for the next 24-hour period.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection has been observed. The solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind measurements continued to be enhanced with the solar wind associated to the Coronal Hole (which has crossed the central meridian on August 11). The wind speed increased from 450 km/s to about 500 km/s; The interplanetary magnetic field strength fluctuated between 3 and 13 nT; The Southward magnetic component fluctuated between -8 and 10 nT. The enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to persist for the next 24 hours and start to decline on August 18.

Due to the enhanced solar wind conditions, the geomagnetic conditions was unsettled to active (K-Dourbes and Kp were ranging between 2 and 4). Unsettled conditions is expected until while the Earth remains under the influence of the solar wind associated to the coronal hole. Active conditions are likely especially if the southward magnetic component remains negative for longue periods.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 013, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Aug 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt030
AK Wingst020
Estimated Ap020
Estimated international sunspot number013 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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