Viewing archive of Saturday, 29 June 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jun 29 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 29 JUN 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
THE TWO ACTIVE REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 7973 (N09W62) AND
7976 (N13W09), REMAIN STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH A COMBINED 25% CHANCE FOR A C-CLASS EVENT FROM
EITHER OF THE TWO ACTIVE REGIONS CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH
AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS
ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 30 JUN to 02 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 JUN 071 Predicted 30 JUN-02 JUL 070/070/072 90 Day Mean 29 JUN 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JUN 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JUN 006/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JUN-02 JUL 005/005-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 JUN to 02 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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