Viewing archive of Friday, 5 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. PREDOMINANTLY QUIET CONDITIONS WERE INTERRUPTED BY A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS FROM 05/0000-1200Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOULD BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 JUL  069
  Predicted   06 JUL-08 JUL  070/070/068
  90 Day Mean        05 JUL  069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 JUL  013/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 JUL  012/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 JUL-08 JUL  010/006-005/006-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 JUL to 08 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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