Viewing archive of Sunday, 14 July 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 14 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 14 JUL 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED
AT 14/1500Z. THIS FLARE IS BELIEVED TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH
REGION 7978, WHICH RECENTLY ROTATED BEYOND THE WEST LIMB, BY
EVIDENCE OF A TIME-COINCIDENT BRIGHT SURGE NEAR S13W90. THERE
ARE NOW NO NUMBERED REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 15 JUL to 17 JUL
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 JUL 068 Predicted 15 JUL-17 JUL 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 14 JUL 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 JUL 009/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUL 006/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUL-17 JUL 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 JUL to 17 JUL
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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