Viewing archive of Monday, 29 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 29 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7981 (S10E48) PRODUCED ONLY MINOR FLUCTUATIONS. THIS REGION CONSISTS OF TWO ABUTTED BIPOLES RESULTING IN A BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION. THE REGION APPEARS TO BE MATURE AND STABLE IN WHITE LIGHT AND MAGNETIC GRADIENTS ARE NOT HIGH.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN VERY LOW. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS FLARE FROM REGION 7981.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOME SITES EXPERIENCED ACTIVE CONDITIONS BETWEEN 29/0300-0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
III. Event Probabilities 30 JUL to 01 AUG
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 JUL  078
  Predicted   30 JUL-01 AUG  079/080/080
  90 Day Mean        29 JUL  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 28 JUL  010/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JUL  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JUL-01 AUG  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 JUL to 01 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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