Viewing archive of Monday, 19 August 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 19 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 232 Issued at 2200Z on 19 AUG 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N10W13 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 7985.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. PREVIOUSLY ACTIVE LONGITUDES ARE DUE TO RETURN AT THE END OF THE PERIOD BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT ACTIVITY LEVELS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE BRIEFLY REACHED THE HIGH LEVEL AT 18/2145Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 20 AUG to 22 AUG
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       19 AUG  068
  Predicted   20 AUG-22 AUG  068/068/070
  90 Day Mean        19 AUG  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 18 AUG  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 AUG  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 AUG-22 AUG  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 AUG to 22 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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