Viewing archive of Friday, 13 September 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 13 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 257 Issued at 2200Z on 13 SEP 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE BECOMING QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 14 SEP to 16 SEP
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 SEP  067
  Predicted   14 SEP-16 SEP  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        13 SEP  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 12 SEP  025/021
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 SEP  014/013
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 SEP-16 SEP  015/010-010/005-010/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 SEP to 16 SEP
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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