Viewing archive of Wednesday, 25 September 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 269 Issued at 2200Z on 25 SEP 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS AGAIN SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MID- LATITUDES AND QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE DAY.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A HIGH SPEED STREAM. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS SHOULD DOMINATE THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST INTERVAL.
III. Event Probabilities 26 SEP to 28 SEP
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 SEP  071
  Predicted   26 SEP-28 SEP  071/071/070
  90 Day Mean        25 SEP  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 24 SEP  009/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 SEP  015/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 SEP-28 SEP  020/025-015/015-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 SEP to 28 SEP
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%35%30%
Minor storm20%15%15%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%35%30%
Minor storm30%15%15%
Major-severe storm05%10%10%

All times in UTC

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