Viewing archive of Wednesday, 9 October 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 283 Issued at 2200Z on 09 OCT 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK WAS VIRTUALLY FEATURELESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 10 OCT to 12 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 OCT  068
  Predicted   10 OCT-12 OCT  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        09 OCT  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 08 OCT  009/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 OCT  016/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 OCT-12 OCT  010/015-010/015-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 OCT to 12 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active35%20%20%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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