Viewing archive of Friday, 11 October 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 285 Issued at 2200Z on 11 OCT 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK WAS FEATURELESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GT 2MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE WAS MODERATE WITH INTERMITTENT PERIODS APPROACHING HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 12 OCT to 14 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 OCT  067
  Predicted   12 OCT-14 OCT  066/068/068
  90 Day Mean        11 OCT  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 10 OCT  010/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 OCT  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 OCT-14 OCT  010/008-015/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 OCT to 14 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%25%20%
Minor storm10%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

All times in UTC

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