Viewing archive of Friday, 1 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 01 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
STILL SPOTLESS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON
FLUX RANGED FROM MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE
TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
III. Event Probabilities 02 NOV to 04 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 NOV 070 Predicted 02 NOV-04 NOV 070/068/068 90 Day Mean 01 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 OCT 010/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 NOV 003/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 NOV-04 NOV 005/005-005/005-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 NOV to 04 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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